Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 3.570412 4.260193 5.029167 5.947301 7.010876 8.201254 9.631401
2025-10-05 2.720264 3.645066 4.781909 6.270757 8.156349 10.450916 13.438778
2025-10-12 2.140675 3.161264 4.521438 6.441147 9.050364 12.438533 17.129681
2025-10-19 1.780230 2.857611 4.395288 6.705081 10.031391 14.582722 21.199209
2025-10-26 1.451821 2.517154 4.135925 6.707891 10.606733 16.191411 24.659898
2025-11-02 1.153189 2.153644 3.767500 6.470721 10.768443 17.188550 27.303867
2025-11-09 0.926768 1.857879 3.447089 6.243258 10.887858 18.096366 29.852604
2025-11-16 0.787975 1.684689 3.294950 6.254847 11.364478 19.562896 33.337810
2025-11-23 0.675943 1.537287 3.160626 6.269927 11.833479 21.038441 36.932357
2025-11-30 0.574646 1.389497 2.999927 6.210461 12.157032 22.288338 40.240324
2025-12-07 0.466148 1.203083 2.734334 5.917145 12.026468 22.752279 42.264663
2025-12-14 0.400255 1.095786 2.607386 5.867910 12.325759 23.964217 45.625417
2025-12-21 0.343540 0.999189 2.490696 5.830140 12.654593 25.276995 49.303328
2025-12-28 0.324886 0.992307 2.567225 6.199522 13.807933 28.169264 55.988500
2026-01-04 0.295108 0.950198 2.557824 6.384125 14.610204 30.471736 61.763453
2026-01-11 0.273669 0.925728 2.585189 6.650953 15.602205 33.199342 68.493450
2026-01-18 0.240275 0.859491 2.501124 6.655234 16.044946 34.901513 73.412536
2026-01-25 0.200245 0.762945 2.324543 6.420150 15.949556 35.537425 76.337321
2026-02-01 0.166987 0.677936 2.162031 6.194392 15.846435 36.140891 79.225735
2026-02-08 0.147603 0.633128 2.099650 6.205937 16.273185 37.847149 84.383752
2026-02-15 0.130796 0.592513 2.041850 6.220925 16.707303 39.595481 89.727992
2026-02-22 0.113909 0.546520 1.960122 6.161874 16.959798 40.974149 94.399045
2026-03-01 0.093279 0.479106 1.800737 5.870597 16.622191 41.054625 96.387317